Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 4.708033 5.095718 5.515515 6.006555 6.568662 7.196268 7.956030
2025-05-25 3.976668 4.485383 5.073835 5.814752 6.737445 7.869566 9.398532
2025-06-01 3.550876 4.108895 4.781926 5.671530 6.845854 8.389439 10.659695
2025-06-08 3.306467 3.905358 4.652664 5.681521 7.110170 9.109029 12.299216
2025-06-15 3.153850 3.792870 4.614747 5.789190 7.499728 10.044218 14.464143
2025-06-22 2.908761 3.536797 4.359737 5.563534 7.371583 10.173102 15.335625
2025-06-29 2.723432 3.344378 4.171886 5.408690 7.320652 10.401694 16.424401
2025-07-06 2.566304 3.178430 4.006227 5.267101 7.267218 10.608298 17.516267
2025-07-13 2.471637 3.090868 3.942359 5.267947 7.435407 11.216165 19.602847
2025-07-20 2.409062 3.042986 3.930033 5.343373 7.731439 12.103003 22.632585
2025-07-27 2.376529 3.034477 3.972735 5.506357 8.195269 13.401949 27.283970
2025-08-03 2.323483 2.992855 3.962289 5.580828 8.509008 14.465079 31.923112
2025-08-10 2.253364 2.928594 3.922174 5.618063 8.790123 15.600363 37.904223
2025-08-17 2.136172 2.790351 3.761683 5.440773 8.643152 15.745070 40.704079
2025-08-24 2.039944 2.678455 3.635348 5.311345 8.573696 16.064009 44.555420
2025-08-31 1.981945 2.620811 3.590541 5.320367 8.786029 17.154160 53.129355
2025-09-07 1.946763 2.595593 3.595273 5.417586 9.198074 18.920543 68.362421
2025-09-14 1.854160 2.477948 3.443166 5.213717 8.924561 18.650657 70.866655
2025-09-21 1.780040 2.386169 3.329301 5.073565 8.778867 18.739533 76.404142
2025-09-28 1.712920 2.302799 3.225482 4.945224 8.645735 18.841056 82.576177
2025-10-05 1.674187 2.262289 3.190875 4.945992 8.812185 19.962785 101.257884
2025-10-12 1.649970 2.243497 3.191461 5.014382 9.149703 21.805009 137.282645
2025-10-19 1.640479 2.247502 3.230678 5.161990 9.708484 24.750060 220.204908